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Walk-aways first: the middle of the zone is not the middle of the openings

Two walk-aways of 900 and 1,100 leave a zone of 200 whose even split is 1,000. Meet in the middle of an ask of 1,200 and an offer of 950 and you land at 1,075, 75 above the split the walk-aways defend.

Live result
The openings meet at 1,075, inside the zone and 75 above its even split.
  • Zone width200
  • Even split1,000
  • Middle of openings1,075
  • Gap from even split75 above
Moving the openings shifts their middle; only the walk aways move the zone and its even split.
The openings meet at 1,075, inside the zone and 75 above its even split.Moving the openings shifts their middle; only the walk aways move the zone and its even split.

Givens

Three pairs of openings

Four whole amounts in one currency.

Supplier's walk away
900
Your estimate of what the supplier nets by selling elsewhere.
Your next best price
1,100
Include requalification, tooling, freight and every cost of changing supplier.
Supplier's opening ask
1,200
The number the supplier opened with.
Your opening offer
950
The number you opened with.

One price line, two middles

ZoneEven splitMiddle of openings
Live chart
The price zone and the two middlesThe zone runs from 900 to 1,100, with its even split at 1,000; the ask 1,200 and offer 950 meet at 1,075.PriceYour offer950Supplier's ask1,200Middle of openings1,075Supplier's walk away900Your next best price1,100Even split1,000
The band joins the walk aways; the two pins compare its even split with the middle of the openings.

The page names no offer. The supplier's walk away is your own estimate, so the zone tests that estimate. Both sides receive half the surplus; the page uses no other weight.

What the supplier nets elsewhere

It does not check the values in between.

How the answer sits across the values sampledA rail of the 6 values sampled, from 700 to 1,200 in steps of 100. No other value sampled leaves the even split of the zone at 1,000. It changes at the first step in each direction you sampled. A step this wide may be stepping over the region rather than measuring it.first change800first change1,000900on the page

No other value sampled leaves the even split of the zone at 1,000. It changes at the first step in each direction you sampled. A step this wide may be stepping over the region rather than measuring it.

No other value sampled leaves the even split of the zone at 1,000. It changes at the first step in each direction you sampled. A step this wide may be stepping over the region rather than measuring it.
The answer1,000
Values sampled700 to 1,200, 6 values, step 100
Holds from900
Holds to900
Nearest value that changes it800 and 1,000
The answer there950 / 1,050

What an unchanged region does and does not prove is set out in a short lesson.

The sweep samples only the values you entered. Between samples the answer is not checked, so read the boundary as observed, not proven.

The calculation and its basis

▾

The zone between the walk aways

The supplier needs at least its alternative; you pay at most yours. The zone between them has width z=b−sz=b-sz=b−s, where zzz is the width and bbb your next best price and sss the supplier's walk away.

The even split

Equal gains put the price at the zone's middle: p∗=s+b−s2=s+b2p^{*}=s+\frac{b-s}{2}=\frac{s+b}{2}p∗=s+2b−s​=2s+b​, where p∗p^{*}p∗ is the even split. Either end moves it half as far, since ∂p∗∂s=12\frac{\partial p^{*}}{\partial s}=\frac{1}{2}∂s∂p∗​=21​.

The middle of the openings

Average the openings: m=a+o2m=\frac{a+o}{2}m=2a+o​, where mmm is their middle and aaa the ask and ooo the offer. Its gap from the even split is g=m−p∗g=m-p^{*}g=m−p∗, where ggg is that gap. Both sides can accept that middle only while s≤m≤bs\le m\le bs≤m≤b.

When there is no zone

When b<sb<sb<s, the supplier's alternative exceeds yours. No price meets both limits; the openings still have a middle.

A worked example

  1. The zone: z=1100−900=200z=1100-900=200z=1100−900=200.
  2. Its even split: p∗=900+2002=1000p^{*}=900+\frac{200}{2}=1000p∗=900+2200​=1000, also the average of the walk aways, 900+11002=1000\frac{900+1100}{2}=10002900+1100​=1000.
  3. The openings meet at: m=1200+9502=1075m=\frac{1200+950}{2}=1075m=21200+950​=1075.
  4. The gap between middles: g=1075−1000=75g=1075-1000=75g=1075−1000=75.
  5. That middle is inside the zone: 900≤1075≤1100900\le 1075\le 1100900≤1075≤1100.

Two changes, two different effects

An ask of 1,300 takes the middle outside the zone: m=1300+9502=1125m=\frac{1300+950}{2}=1125m=21300+950​=1125.

A supplier walk away of 1,000 moves the even split half as far: p∗=1000+11002=1050p^{*}=\frac{1000+1100}{2}=1050p∗=21000+1100​=1050.

Each pair moves its own middle.

What this does not model

No discovery or verification of either alternative.

No unequal weights, patience, breakdown risk or gains during delay.

No tactics or sequence of offers; an ask below the offer remains valid.

The sweep

Across supplier alternatives from 700 to 1,200 in steps of 100, the split rises by 50 each step until the supplier's alternative exceeds 1,100 and no zone remains.

Allowed amounts

Whole amounts from 0 to 1,000,000,000, all in one currency; changing supplier belongs in your next best price.

Boundary

The page compares four stated amounts; it neither values alternatives nor recommends a position.

Sources

Abhinay Muthoo, Bargaining Theory with Applications, explains the split around an alternative. Avinash Dixit, Susan Skeath and David Reiley, Games of Strategy, treats weighted surplus sharing; here both weights are a half.

Scale
Amounts through 1,000,000,000; whole amounts give exact halves
Basis
Two sides, one price, equal gains above their alternatives
Assumptions
Whole amounts in one currency; the supplier's alternative is your estimate
Model version
2.0.0

The whole record prints. Your browser can save it as a PDF instead of printing it.

These figures test your stated alternatives with equal bargaining weight. They establish neither side's actual alternatives and recommend no offer or negotiating position.

Related

  • Negotiation preparation: the three sheets a commercial conversation runs onThree sheets for preparing a commercial conversation: what you actually know and where you got it, who decides behind the person you are talking to, and what each thing you plan to offer is supposed to buy back.
  • Shared delivery route: each segment is charged to whoever needs it drivenFive stops share one road. Split the bill by distance and the nearest stop pays 6.29 for road only the far stops need; charge each segment to whoever needs it driven and it pays 4. The shares still add to the 110 bill.

Price zone record

Walk-aways first: the middle of the zone is not the middle of the openings

Givens

Supplier's walk away (example value)
900
Your next best price (example value)
1,100
Supplier's opening ask (example value)
1,200
Your opening offer (example value)
950

The reading

Zone width
200
Even split
1,000
Middle of openings
1,075
Gap from even split
75 above

Calculation trace

1. Zone width
200
2. Even split
1,000
3. Middle of openings
1,075
4. Gap between middles
75 above

Sweep of What the supplier nets elsewhere

The assumption
What the supplier nets elsewhere
Values sampled
700 to 1200, 6, 100
The answer
1,000
Holds across
900 to 900
Nearest change
800: 950 / 1000: 1,050
Reading the boundary
The sweep samples only the values you entered. Between samples the answer is not checked, so read the boundary as observed, not proven.

Record fields

Model version
2.0.0
Boundary
The page compares four stated amounts; it neither values alternatives nor recommends a position.
Sources
Abhinay Muthoo, Bargaining Theory with Applications, explains the split around an alternative. Avinash Dixit, Susan Skeath and David Reiley, Games of Strategy, treats weighted surplus sharing; here both weights are a half.

These figures test your stated alternatives with equal bargaining weight. They establish neither side's actual alternatives and recommend no offer or negotiating position.

Model version: 2.0.0

Badr Alghamdi · badralghamdi.com/tools/split-the-surplus-not-the-number

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